Research archive
Research
I use this page for the full projects. Some are finished enough to have a locked holdout. Others are still at the design or data-validation stage. I want that difference to be visible rather than smoothing everything into a portfolio of “results.”
Persistent Relative Weakness and Rebound Dynamics in Indian Equities
I test whether the path of prolonged weakness versus Nifty and sector peers contains prospectively observable information about later sector-relative performance.
Holdout validatedFuture-time test pending
Price Provenance and Belief Updating in Prediction Markets
The completed transparent-provenance pilot tests whether a local LLM discounts an identical quote when it is disclosed as manipulated. The graded follow-up is frozen but not yet run.
Pilot passedGradient frozen
Young-Graduate Employment Across Indian States
I am building a state-year PLFS panel that separates graduate unemployment from access to regular salaried work and other indicators of employment quality.
Data validationDescriptive study
IdeaData / designExploratoryCandidateInternally validatedHoldout validatedProspectively validatedRejected / failed